Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2045.642522 2225.112404 2407.471964 2606.346788 2816.831200 3032.682405 3270.476456
2025-02-16 1729.630984 1993.315149 2272.078825 2587.588630 2933.605018 3300.396533 3717.453886
2025-02-23 1557.932915 1873.822913 2217.570143 2617.037799 3066.080770 3552.913659 4118.227105
2025-03-02 1408.078593 1758.099052 2148.630971 2612.748801 3145.310548 3733.435233 4428.064787
2025-03-09 1312.521601 1693.024021 2126.820643 2652.244679 3265.605297 3953.327834 4776.896221
2025-03-16 1197.136401 1594.646878 2057.499772 2628.480280 3306.004877 4076.590803 5011.322770
2025-03-23 1140.877347 1561.932540 2061.024732 2686.184649 3438.051748 4303.195675 5363.569721
2025-03-30 1069.686134 1505.470455 2031.317228 2699.996962 3514.847517 4463.074132 5636.904814
2025-04-06 1000.623765 1446.948114 1994.946872 2701.975127 3574.404447 4600.464552 5882.531583
2025-04-13 900.990140 1343.308244 1897.043527 2623.012364 3531.146333 4611.541425 5975.075543
2025-04-20 881.533260 1342.862649 1928.287468 2704.340414 3684.246002 4859.148512 6351.987093
2025-04-27 847.245250 1320.390001 1929.453764 2746.219271 3787.565199 5046.183756 6656.457034
2025-05-04 794.456144 1270.975744 1894.471204 2741.562089 3833.340997 5164.725266 6881.120907
2025-05-11 739.068656 1215.082750 1848.513131 2720.653931 3857.132787 5255.502045 7072.032096
2025-05-18 707.368416 1190.570957 1842.890394 2751.208998 3945.765519 5426.587738 7362.373246
2025-05-25 665.443986 1149.048590 1812.174432 2746.761856 3987.952086 5538.750572 7579.474591
2025-06-01 642.252816 1133.470730 1815.991589 2787.708588 4088.762890 5724.984314 7889.879928
2025-06-08 598.824333 1085.502380 1772.684867 2763.071955 4102.119617 5799.230321 8059.222282
2025-06-15 585.459638 1082.088570 1791.500717 2822.890484 4227.051530 6016.442053 8410.133434
2025-06-22 558.795324 1056.816992 1777.988477 2837.206954 4290.858708 6155.032303 8661.763278
2025-06-29 530.125292 1026.886269 1756.455926 2839.257264 4337.450193 6271.047723 8884.799901
2025-07-06 479.363038 959.058098 1677.005426 2757.403035 4268.388358 6234.819740 8911.123819
2025-07-13 477.469998 970.238201 1714.440781 2841.708795 4426.214857 6496.383291 9322.826233